Is “Putin “creating nightmares for travelers to visit their dream destinations?


Rusoo-ukraine war, sparked by putins’invasion,

In February 2022, the Russian president Vladimir Putin launched special military operation in the Ukrainian border by claiming to avoid foreign military involvements and denazification. 

There have been many political conflicts since past decade between Russia and Ukraine. Since Russia started its military operations in Ukraine, The United States and NATO countries predicted about upcoming terrors and hardships. Due to the agreement of expansion of NATO with the inclusion of Ukraine, Russia started the invasion to express their extreme disagreements on Ukraine’s' participation with NATO. 

Since February 2022, the two countries have killed each other in the battle field by supporting to fulfil selfish external and internal political agendas of both countries in result of taking thousands of innocent civilians ‘lives including women and children. 

Due to the war, both countries ‘economic stability was impacted significantly. Imports and exports were hindered and eventually countries GDP dropped that led to the economic downfall. Due to the ongoing war, not only Ukraine, Russia and the neighboring countries, entire world is affected from wars’ negative impact.

 


 

          source: state statistical service from Ukraine.  source: Federal state statistical service, Russia.

The above charts show how both countries are suffering from economic instability due to the invasion. According to the UN news, 18th May 2022, in world economic situation and prospects (WESP) report, they have mentioned the global economic downfall was 4% than predicted due to the war in Ukraine.  

 Consequences of the war irruption and questionable itineraries,

The impacts of the war are unmeasurable. In fact, after the World War II in Europe, Russian invasion of Ukraine, created huge downfalls which led to social and economic crisis. According to the UN report of in global crisis response group published on 8th June under the Global impact of the war in Ukraine, emphasize on three major challengers that generate which are increase food price, high energy prices and sanctions.    

After suffering from the covid 19 pandemic, most of the world's population stated their normal life including fulfilling their dream vacations.

Sanction and restriction,

Since lack of investment and further sanctions imposed on Russia due to Russian invasion of Ukraine, crude oil prices significantly inflated compared to what it was during the pandemic, and impacted on oil and gas supply for the demand. Since the high price of oil, the international and domestic air fares increased by questioning the travel itineraries of travelers.

The vulnerability of the tourism industries from series of unprecedented events around the globe make changers on percepts of travelers. Due to the cost of living is increasing with energy price inflation as the war irruption in Ukraine, many tourists are limit their travels to simple excursions. For many tourists to arrive, the prime concerns should be affordable air fare, accommodations, foods and hassle-free currency transactions to ease the payments.

Sanctions and restrictions effect on the air transportation,

Due to the higher oil price in the market, airline industry has faced a huge challenge. The fuel is the main component for airline to operate and also it is the biggest variable cost which effect the entire airline operation. Since the unacceptable Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Ukrainian airspace was closed by Restricting the aircrafts fly to, from and over the territory. Because of the air traffic restrictions, flight have to reroute to avoid Ukraine airspace which cause airline to change their schedule route by detouring. As a result, flight times are longer than usual and passengers may encounter many transits and delays. 

According to the IATA analysis on war in Ukraine and Air transportation on 22 March 2022, the IATA settlement system, which is related to transactions between agents and IATA airline members are affected due to sanctions imposed against Russia. Passengers face difficulties in making their payments for air fares and agents are in challengeable situation to prosses the settlement and refunds to their customers.

Airlines are the key componence of the travel business. Utmost concern of the airline operators is to provide safe aircrafts for the passengers to have a safe journey. Due to bans of export of air craft spare parts could be a problem for the air crafts divert in emergencies in or around Russia which is a great threat to the passengers and the airlines ‘smooth operations.  

Effect on Russian and Ukrainian tourists’ arrivals,  

After the covid 19 pandemic, many countries reopened their borders for international travel. Many restrictions were mitigated to ease travels. Many tourists started to arrive and steadily the tourism industry of the world started to rise. Due to the consequences of the war irruption, it significantly impacts on tourism industry to fall again. 

High flow of refugees from Ukraine and Russian travel bans which effect Russian tourist been refused from visa processing to visit other countries are the outcome of the ongoing war crisis. According to UNWTO (world tourism organization. United nation specialized agency.), Russia and Ukraine contribute 3% of global spendings on tourism up to 2022. In other words, the losses are US $ 14 billion tourism receipts globally in 2022. Since the Russian and Ukraine market made a favorable contribution to the world tourism industry, the war crisis challenged the uprise of market expansions.

Below chart shows destinations with highest share of Russian visitors. The dark blue lines indicate market share percentage in 2019. In light blue lines indicates market share percentage in 2021/2022.

source: UNWTO

Below chart indicate the bookings of all outbound travel from Russia from January 2022 to May 2022 and how the tightened-up sanctions against Russia impacted on Russian travelers.  


Source: compiled by UNWTO from Forward Keys data.

Below chart shows how the European flight change from January to April 2022 compared to the 2019.


Source: compiled by UNWTO from Eurocontrol. (Based on 41 countries covered by Eurocontrol).

The below chart indicates the international tourist arrivals in 2020,2021 and scenarios for 2022.


Source: UNWTO (March 2022)

Above all these data analyzed shows how the war irruption effected to tourism which eventually effect the global economic.The end of the covid 19 outbreak, many countries are hope to rebuild their economic stability.The below chart shows how the Ukraine war effect the world GDP, 


Source: OECD (2022) OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report, March 2022

Conclusion, 

Any countries at war affects its economy and livelihood. And it’s the least expected event to be happened in the world. It is a threat to the tourism industry. After World War II, the Ukraine war against Russian invasion had made major impacts on different manner in worldwide. Both countries, neighboring countries and supporting countries are politically bounded and the outcomes are contradicted. Empower the personal agendas over the innocent civilians reflect the unethical hidden face of autocracy to opinionated the cruelty. Impacts are varied. As I mentioned above, the tourism industry of the world is decelerating due to the consequences of the war specially in Europe. 

From my own experience, when I visited Russia during the beginning of the Ukraine war, I suffered from their sanctions. All international money transactions were banned within Russia and it burdened me to even find alternative solutions to pay my bills. There were many protests and Martial law was imposed. Therefor I was unable to visit many places as I expected.

According to the gathered information, travelling is a challenge during the war irruption. Tourism Industry of a country is important to the country’s’ GDP. If the tourism industry falls, that country’s’ GDP declines and it led to its' economic downfall. This could have been avoided if leaders of both parties and external parties were responsible for their own decisions makings.   


 scorpions,2oo9 Nov. 1st


Even though this song written in decade and a half ago, when you hear the song, every word has timely meaning. It immediately takes you to the burdens of ongoing war in Russia and you feel the cruelty. There is a hope for freedom of travel and simple act of kindness could make a difference. Future of our children lies on our hands. War is a mass distraction. It takes lives and destroy the landscape and resources. Every country is a unique place and it is every human beings’ responsibility to protect it for the future. 

Reference,

State statisticnservice,ukraine. available at https://ukrstat.gov.ua/ 

Federal state statistic service .available at https://rosstat.gov.ru/statistic

UN news(18th May 2022): Global economic growth downgraded due to spillover from Ukraine war.
available at https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/05/1118532

U N Global crisis response group on food, energy and finance(8 June 2022)brief no.2 :Global impact of the war in Ukraine,Billions of people face the greatest cost-of-living crisis in a generation.available at https://news.un.org/pages/global-crisis-response-group/

IATA analysis(22 March 2022):war in Ukraine and Air transportation. available at  https://airlines.iata.org/analysis/war-in-ukraine-and-air-transport

UNWTO impact assessment (16 May 2022) issue 4: Impact of the Russian offensive in Ukraine on international tourism. Available at https://webunwto.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2022-05/16-05-22-impact-russia-ukraine.pdf?q7kCpUZsLi4Su_Zlo1d2b08bH0_L0Pln=

Scorpion(2009 Nov. 1st)wind of change.[online]Available  from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4RjJKxsamQ








Comments

  1. War in any country is a pointless waste of human life, resources and infrastructure, started by politicians for their advantages and greed. The Russia-Ukraine war has impacted the economy of the whole world. As a person working in Maldives which rely on tourism heavily has seen a slight decline in tourism this year not only from the countries directly affected by the war but also from other countries. This is mainly due to the rise in fuel costs in turn the rise in airline ticket prices which is directly a result of the ongoing war. If the war escaltes in the coming months we could see a further decline in tourism.

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    1. Ukraine war made a significant impact on worlds’ economic. As I mentioned in my blog post, inflation of the oil price is huge downfall for many different transportation industries in air, ground and water. War is a least expected event to be happen. And it creates negative outcomes which results many sufferings and disappointments.

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  2. Russians are one of the biggest spenders while their on travel. Since the war begins the russian share is effected towards the worlds tourism industry.

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    1. Russians are important tourists. And they are one of the biggest spenders in the world. Since the Putins’ invasion in Ukraine cause Russian tourist been refused in many countries to express opposition.

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  3. After the pandemic had halted international travel, everyone thought 2022 as a breakthrough year for the hospitality sector. Countries have lifted most of their lockdown restrictions and seen a drop in the number of new infections while much of their population has been fully vaccinated. The tourism industry was awaiting early 2022 to bounce back from pandemic-related losses. Many countries like sri lanka and iraq, once popular with tourists have all but disappeared from the tourist map over the years because of repeated hazards. Outflow of Russian tourists who could not travel amid worldwide sanctions against Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine hit the tourism industry so badly.

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    1. After the pandemic, world tourism started to accelerate. Many restrictions related to covid 19 were mitigated and open for international travelers. Since there was a war crisis started in Ukraine, especially in Europe there is a significant decline of tourists’ arrivals to Rassia due to the many restrictions and sanctions.

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  4. Russia's military offensive in Ukraine shows a huge downside risk for international tourism. It has severely effected in high oil prices and transportation cost. This uncertainty caused a disruption of travel in Eastern Europe. However, the easing of travel restrictions around the globe are contributing to the normalization of travel, but the conflict continue to pose a serious threat to the recovery.

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    1. All the political bodies must consider the facts that cause the war and need to be address accordingly in a less harmful manner. Starting a War is not an answer. It only expresses the capabilities of mass distractions and the barbarian way of showing the power of the country. This causes many issues which effect the world economic stability.

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  5. Visitors from Russia continue to be the island's top source of tourists even as Sri Lanka's economic situation worsens and tourism numbers are shockingly low. In February, prior to the coronavirus epidemic, there were expected to be 200,000 tourists in Sri Lanka. This year, only 96,507 people were involved. However, Russian visitors, who made up 15,340 arrivals, were in the first place, followed by arrivals from India (12,744), the UK (10,642), Germany (7,740), and Ukraine (5,620). Despite the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Sri Lanka continues to welcome Russian tourists, as Russia remains the leading market for Sri Lanka tourism. As well as it should loosen the restrictions around the world for the normalization of global tourism.

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    1. Russian and Ukrainian tourists’ market is important and it takes a considerable percentage of market share in tourism industry in Sri Lanka. Since the war in Ukraine there is a decline of these tourists’ arrivals.

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  6. The invasion of Ukraine by Russia has caused one of the largest refugee crises and taken a terrible toll on both human and economic lives.

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    1. Higher Refugee flow cause many problems such as lot of suffering for children and women, many migrations visa issues, violation of human rights, unemployment and lack of housing facilities. These thins effect the social factor of that particular country.

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  7. Since the start of the war we have seen a huge decline of Russian/Ukrainian travelers. These two countries contributed heavily to the travel industry before the war. We might see a further decrease in the coming months.

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  8. Due to the Russia Ukraine war the current oil prices have gone up considerably, which in turn have increased the price of traveling. Due to the high fuel prices and cost of travel many tourists are not considering visiting their tourist destinations.

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  9. Rusiaa &Ukraine plays a major role in travel industry in SriLanka.Due to this war seems to be a decrease of them...

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